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Active week of weather ahead

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Winter is not over yet. In fact, there are about 50 days until the official start of spring. Here's a look at the next two chances of snow in the Tri-Cities area.

MONDAY NIGHT-EARLY TUESDAY

A shot of colder air will arrive Monday night. With any amount of moisture, this will set us up for a typical scattered flurries/snow showers event. Some snow showers may start near the KY/VA line and in the NC/TN mountains as soon as 5-7 in the afternoon on Monday.

Most of the snow showers arrive well after sunset. So far, this looks like a pretty typical snow event for our area. Snow showers mainly target the higher elevations north and east of the Tri-Cities (along with the northwest facing slopes). However, a flurry or quick snow burst can't be ruled out in the valleys either.

The ground may be a bit warm and wet at first, so that's why I doubt there will be much (if any) accumulating snow in the Tri-Cities. That, along with the scattered nature of snow showers/flurries, is also why totals will be very low. Places like Butler, Mountain City, Flag Pond, Boone, Blowing Rock, Banner Elk, Roan Mountain Lower, could pick up a little more than an inch to maybe 2 in a lucky spot. Carvers Gap, Whitetop, Big A Mountain, Black Mountain and High Knob could pick up around 3" near the mountain peaks. Parts of Dickenson and Buchanan Counties could also see locally more than 1" in spots.

On Monday, kids are going to school. We see this being more of a late Monday evening into early Tuesday morning ordeal. Tuesday morning we expect some delays across SW VA and in the TN/NC Mountains.

Be sure to check here for those changes, should any go into effect.

The weather regroups a little bit, after a frigid Tuesday. As February kicks off, however, there is another weather maker that we'll have to keep watching closely.

BEGINNING OF FEBRUARY

By this Thursday and Friday, colder air will be leaking down from the north. The bulk of the Arctic air looks to stay confined to areas north of here. However, the storm track across the southern US is fairly active. Where the storm track and colder air can mesh will ultimately determine who sees a decent amount of snow.

We are not 100% confident on who sees what Thursday and Friday. We do understand, however, that there is potential for impactful wintry weather in that time frame. Amounts of course, to be determined...

Here's what you should do, in the meantime.

1. Check back for updates on-air, here at WCYB.com/weather, and on our StormTrack 5 Mobile App.

2. Plan ahead. This has potential to be a more impactful snow. We'll talk more on this in the middle of the week, once the forecast data gets a little more refined.

3. As always, beware of what you see being posted on the internet. Snow maps posted 4-7 days away from a potential system are hardly ever reliable. Find a source for weather info, and stick with it. We hope to be that source for you!

Check the latest forecast at WCYB.com/weather.

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